Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 4.069177 4.839266 5.695482 6.715198 7.893555 9.209365 10.786699
2025-10-19 3.073344 4.094992 5.345280 6.975953 9.033160 11.527686 14.765105
2025-10-26 2.360707 3.462537 4.923243 6.975071 9.751749 13.343394 18.298579
2025-11-02 1.805714 2.886451 4.424332 6.728564 10.039543 14.561455 21.124556
2025-11-09 1.414296 2.445658 4.010292 6.493165 10.253374 15.635767 23.793525
2025-11-16 1.178189 2.186119 3.804577 6.505239 10.785231 17.162204 27.187541
2025-11-23 0.995256 1.973039 3.628311 6.520963 11.298162 18.677028 30.661738
2025-11-30 0.836662 1.768590 3.428456 6.459244 11.662279 19.972896 33.883250
2025-12-07 0.674318 1.523114 3.115598 6.155340 11.580078 20.537772 35.981840
2025-12-14 0.575039 1.379698 2.961909 6.104133 11.907271 21.773084 39.226727
2025-12-21 0.495810 1.261063 2.834990 6.080488 12.270544 23.083954 42.676067
2025-12-28 0.468173 1.249227 2.915631 6.457784 13.390323 25.765550 48.615143
2026-01-04 0.423554 1.191793 2.898276 6.647786 14.194112 27.982074 53.960246
2026-01-11 0.390705 1.156113 2.922033 6.923923 15.189343 30.617985 60.230731
2026-01-18 0.342168 1.070506 2.822379 6.928325 15.649213 32.306784 64.917385
2026-01-25 0.285249 0.949193 2.620859 6.684809 15.580774 32.996491 67.817889
2026-02-01 0.238100 0.842813 2.436040 6.451209 15.502779 33.651068 70.682003
2026-02-08 0.210250 0.785731 2.363022 6.463345 15.942594 35.338141 75.600684
2026-02-15 0.186193 0.734207 2.295576 6.479019 16.388730 37.064617 80.697384
2026-02-22 0.162231 0.676571 2.201952 6.417663 16.654619 38.439878 85.183832
2026-03-01 0.133314 0.593460 2.022748 6.115501 16.337776 38.582849 87.212582
2026-03-08 0.116521 0.548649 1.944886 6.064590 16.600089 39.957452 91.815870
2026-03-15 0.102664 0.510720 1.880640 6.041081 16.924056 41.483248 96.817162